Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 021726
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1226 PM CDT WED NOV 02 2011
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A SHORT WAVE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL
   REACH MO/AR AT 12Z THU...TRACKING E/SEWD AND DAMPENING SLIGHTLY AS
   IT APPROACHES THE CAROLINAS BY FRI MORNING. ATTENDANT SURFACE
   CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN THU MORNING/AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MID-MS/LOWER OH
   VALLEYS WHILE A SECONDARY LOW FORMS IN THE LEE OF THE SRN
   APPALACHIANS. IN THE WEST...A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
   DEVELOP SWD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST.
   
   ...MID-MS/LOWER OH VALLEYS TO THE CAROLINAS...
   SURFACE RIDGING PRECEDING THE APPROACH OF THE HIGH PLAINS SHORT WAVE
   TROUGH WILL LIMIT MORE ROBUST BUOYANCY FROM DEVELOPING...WITH
   ONLY A NARROW PLUME OF 50S SURFACE DEWPOINTS ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT
   WILL OCCLUDE AND WEAKEN DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. DESPITE
   STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE COMBINATION OF POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES AND MODEST MOISTURE RETURN SHOULD LARGELY RESTRICT POTENTIAL
   FOR CHARGE-SEPARATION. NEVERTHELESS...WITHIN THE TRACK OF THE
   MID-LEVEL LOW...A POCKET OF RELATIVELY COLDER TEMPERATURES AND
   MODERATE TO STRONG ASCENT COULD RESULT IN SPORADIC LIGHTNING
   STRIKES. A LOW-TOPPED BAND OF SHOWERS APPEARS PROBABLE FARTHER S
   ALONG THE COLD FRONT WHICH MAY YIELD GUSTY NON-TSTM WINDS.
   
   ...COASTAL WA TO CNTRL CA...
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   STEEPEN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE AMPLIFYING COASTAL TROUGH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/02/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z