Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 130537
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1137 PM CST SUN FEB 12 2012
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN ACTIVE STORM TRACK WILL EXIST ACROSS THE SRN UNITED STATES ON
   MONDAY...WITH ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM THE SRN PLAINS EWD
   ALONG THE GULF COAST AND AN UPPER LOW DIPPING SWD ACROSS THE SW. 
   
   AHEAD OF THE LEAD TROUGH...A DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE WITH HIGH
   PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE SE. THIS WILL LIMIT MOISTURE RETURN WITH
   UNFAVORABLE LOW LEVEL TRAJECTORIES. FORCING WITH THE TROUGH...AS
   WELL AS WARM ADVECTION WITH A 40-50 KT SWLY LOW LEVEL WILL RESULT IN
   WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION. VERY WEAK INSTABILITY MAY
   ARISE...RESULTING IN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH WEAK
   CONVECTION.
   
   TO THE W...A COLD UPPER LOW CENTER AND SOME DAYTIME HEATING WILL
   RESULT IN WEAK INSTABILITY FROM THE CNTRL CA VALLEYS INTO
   NV...RESULTING IN SHOWERS AND A FEW WEAK THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY DURING
   THE DAY.
   
   ..JEWELL/ROGERS.. 02/13/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z