Nov 18, 2012 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Nov 18 04:51:32 UTC 2012
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20121118 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20121118 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20121118 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20121118 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 180447
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1047 PM CST SAT NOV 17 2012
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL
   CONTINUE THROUGH SUN. SUBTLE MID-LEVEL IMPULSES EJECTING ACROSS NWRN
   MEXICO/SWRN CONUS ALONG WITH MODEST MOISTENING AROUND 700 MB MAY BE
   SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED TSTMS DURING THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON IN
   THE TRANS-PECOS OF FAR W TX.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 11/18/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z