Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 150641
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1241 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2012
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD BUT LOW AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE
   WRN STATES MON MORNING...AND WILL AMPLIFY A BIT AS AN EMBEDDED
   SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS AND INTO THE SRN PLAINS. AT
   THE SURFACE...SLY FLOW WILL EXIST OVER THE PLAINS AND GULF COAST
   STATES AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS FROM SRN KS INTO NRN OK WITH
   DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 60 F FROM SERN OK INTO AR.
   
   ...NERN TX...ERN OK...AR...
   MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL RETURN TO THE SRN PLAINS ON
   MON...BENEATH GRADUALLY COOLING TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH THE
   APPROACHING UPPER WAVE. EVEN WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS
   ERN TX...A FORMIDABLE CAPPING INVERSION WILL EXIST DUE TO A
   RELATIVELY COOL BOUNDARY LAYER. ALTHOUGH MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF
   500-750 J/KG WILL EXIST ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...STORMS MAY NOT FORM
   UNTIL AFTER 00Z. WIND FIELDS WILL BE STRONG...AND WOULD FAVOR EITHER
   SUPERCELLS OR BOWS WITH DAMAGING WINDS. HODOGRAPHS WILL FAVOR WEAK
   TORNADOES. HOWEVER...THIS THREAT APPEARS CONDITIONAL AT THIS TIME
   AND WILL ONLY INTRODUCE LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES. ONCE STORMS MOVE
   INTO ERN AR/SERN MO...THEY WILL BE ELEVATED WITH LITTLE THREAT OF
   SEVERE.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 01/15/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z