Feb 5, 2012 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Sun Feb 5 08:20:59 UTC 2012
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20120205 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20120205 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 050818
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0218 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   WITH MEAN TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON
   TUESDAY...AMPLIFIED/SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER
   WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS/CANADA. DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE
   PERIOD...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT A PORTION OF AN EASTERN PACIFIC
   TROUGH WILL SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE CA COAST WITHIN THE
   SOUTHERN STREAM. WHILE A VIRTUALLY NIL TSTM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
   MOST AREAS...ISOLATED TSTM POTENTIAL MAY EXIST FOR PORTIONS OF
   COASTAL CA.
   
   FOR CA COASTAL AREAS...A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY FOR THE
   OFFSHORE WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA
   TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT. GIVEN THE
   EXPECTED TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
   TROUGH/ASSOCIATED FRONT...LIMITED MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INLAND
   IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A SEVERE RISK.
   
   ..GUYER.. 02/05/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z