Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 050622
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0122 AM CDT THU APR 05 2012
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE NRN PLAINS EWD
   ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY WITH SURFACE LOW OVER MANITOBA AND COLD
   FRONT EXTENDING SWD ACROSS MN/WI/IA BY 00Z. A SRN BRANCH OF THIS
   FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM SRN OK INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. SELY LOW
   LEVEL FLOW S OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL MAINTAIN DEWPOINTS MAINLY IN THE
   50S. MEANWHILE...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ATLANTIC AND HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL MAKE FOR COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS E OF THE MS RIVER.
   
   ...SRN OK INTO NRN AND WRN TX...
   A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL EXIST S OF THE WEAKENING COLD FRONT
   FROM THE TX SOUTH PLAINS NEWD TO THE RED RIVER. STRONG HEATING WILL
   HELP TO CREATE A PLUME OF STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND A
   REDUCTION OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CONVERGENCE
   ALONG THE BOUNDARY...AS WELL SELY UPSLOPE NEAR THE DAVIS MTNS SHOULD
   YIELD SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK LOW LEVEL FLOW BENEATH MODEST
   WESTERLIES ALOFT SUGGEST STORMS WILL PROPAGATE IN A S OR SWWD
   DIRECTION. STORMS SHOULD BE EFFICIENT AT PRODUCING COOL AND STABLE
   OUTFLOW DUE TO WEAK WINDS IN THE LOWEST SEVERAL KM AND HIGH T/TD
   SURFACE SPREADS. MARGINALLY SEVERE WINDS AND SOME HAIL WILL BE
   LIKELY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/05/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z