SPC AC 300713
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2012
VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS AND MS VALLEY
WITH SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES. AN UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN AND WILL AFFECT MT
INTO THE DAKOTAS LATE. SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
WILL PERSIST FROM MO INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ISAAC.
...GREAT BASIN...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM BY EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS A LARGE
PART OF THE GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES AS SLY FLOW MAINTAINS MOISTURE.
MODEST MIDLEVEL FLOW WILL EXIST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER
RIDGE...AND SHEAR WILL BE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR A FEW LONGER
LIVED ORGANIZED STORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
...ERN MT INTO ND AND WRN SD...
UPPER HEIGHT FALLS AND A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS ERN MT
AFTER 00Z AND INTO THE DAKOTAS OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH FORCING WILL BE
STRONG...INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE VERY WEAK...THUS UNCERTAINTY IS
TOO HIGH FOR LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
..JEWELL.. 08/30/2012
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NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z
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