Oct 1, 2012 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Mon Oct 1 07:08:45 UTC 2012
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20121001 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20121001 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.		 
   SPC AC 010706
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0206 AM CDT MON OCT 01 2012
   
   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   MS VALLEY TROUGH WILL FINALLY EJECT NEWD INTO THE OH VALLEY DURING
   THE DAY3 PERIOD AIDED IN PART BY DIGGING SHORT-WAVE AND STRONG MID
   LEVEL SPEED MAX OVER MN/IA.  THIS LEAD FEATURE WILL INDUCE SCATTERED
   CONVECTION WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR ACROSS PARTS OF NY AND BENEATH
   COLDER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES/STEEPER LAPSE RATES OVER PARTS OF THE
   NRN GREAT LAKES.
   
   FARTHER SOUTH...VERY MOIST PROFILES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ERN GULF
   BASIN OVER THE FL PENINSULA.  WITH PW VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 2
   INCHES VERY MOIST PROFILES SHOULD SUPPORT DEEPER CONVECTION WITH THE
   POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED LIGHTNING.
   
   ..DARROW.. 10/01/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z