Oct 25, 2012 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Oct 25 07:32:44 UTC 2012
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20121025 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20121025 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 250730
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0230 AM CDT THU OCT 25 2012
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE PROMINENT LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
   A SLOW EASTWARD-SHIFT OVER THE MIDWEST/CENTRAL CANADA THROUGH
   SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A DECELERATING COLD FRONT NEARING THE
   APPALACHIANS. COOL/DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WILL ENSURE A VIRTUALLY
   NIL TSTM POTENTIAL FOR MOST OF THE COUNTRY...ALTHOUGH SANDY WILL BE
   A FACTOR FOR THE SOUTHEAST CONUS.
   
   ...COASTAL SOUTHEAST CONUS...
   REFERENCE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER REGARDING THE LATEST
   FORECASTS FOR SANDY. BASED ON CURRENT NHC TRACK/INTENSITY
   GUIDANCE...NORTH-NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERAL PORTIONS OF SANDY MAY
   INFLUENCE AREAS SUCH AS THE COASTAL CAROLINAS...WITH A FEW TSTMS
   POSSIBLE. SCENARIO WILL BE REEVALUATED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS FOR
   THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVELY-AIDED WIND GUSTS AND ANY NECESSARY
   INTRODUCTION OF LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
   
   ..GUYER.. 10/25/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z