ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
   WOUS40 KWNS 222035
   ALZ000-ARZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-230200-
   
   PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2012
   
   ...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER
   MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO...AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
   THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...AND HAIL OVER
   PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO...AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS
   LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          NORTHWEST ALABAMA
          EASTERN ARKANSAS
          SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
          SOUTHERN INDIANA
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY
          SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
          WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
   
   SURROUNDING THE GREATEST RISK AREA...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
   FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTH AND NORTHEAST INTO PARTS OF
   MICHIGAN...OHIO...AND THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
   APPALACHIANS.
   
   A POWERFUL JET STREAM DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
   AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO THE
   MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
   
   IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE JET STREAM IMPULSE...A STRONG SURFACE LOW
   WILL TRACK EAST ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN
   NORTHEAST ACROSS MISSOURI AND IOWA TONIGHT...BEFORE REACHING
   WISCONSIN EARLY MONDAY.  AHEAD OF THE LOW...A BROAD CURRENT OF FAST
   SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL USHER UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIR NORTHWARD
   ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI...LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS.  
   
   A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH FROM THE LOW WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
   INTENSE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
   OVER PARTS OF ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...AND
   LOUISIANA AS THE FRONT ENCOUNTERS THE INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID
   AIR.
   
   AS THE STORMS BUILD AND INTERACT WITH THE JET STREAM WINDS...SOME OF
   THEM LIKELY WILL BECOME LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS...POSING A RISK FOR
   STRONG TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL.  THE TORNADO
   THREAT SHOULD BE GREATEST THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT OVER
   EASTERN ARKANSAS...NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND WESTERN TENNESSEE. 
   THE STORMS LIKELY WILL EVOLVE INTO AN EXTENSIVE LINE LATER
   TONIGHT...EXTENDING THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND AND POSSIBLE
   TORNADOES THROUGH DAWN MONDAY NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN
   SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS.
   
   STATE AND LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGERS ARE MONITORING THIS DEVELOPING
   SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE
   WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA
   WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER
   TODAY.
   
   ..GUYER/MEAD/CORFIDI.. 01/22/2012
   
   $$