DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1127 AM CDT FRI OCT 04 2013 VALID TIME 041630Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35439978 35969960 37599815 38659741 39869686 41049715 41949778 42789801 43799804 44619714 44879539 44799306 43929065 43058885 42278939 40599190 38779316 37649460 36459627 35319776 34619882 34769953 35439978 0.02 28639103 29739029 30228962 30218911 29808844 0.05 39109606 39499630 40169645 40889668 41579712 42279755 42909748 43379691 43789644 44189519 43999336 43219153 42359086 41479146 39989319 38999470 38929557 39109606 0.10 42589653 43109636 43499579 43509490 43239439 42349314 41779245 41159242 40849289 40579447 40829586 41419627 42099652 42589653 SIGN 43089510 42719458 42019333 41609274 41249276 41019309 40779452 40989569 41609613 42349630 42789618 43079575 43089510 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 32459861 31390013 31380134 33980045 35440024 37509903 38759823 39719802 41119796 42219892 43449928 44649846 45849695 46309500 46269164 45798864 44918521 44328343 43618309 42848381 42048581 40848838 39669066 38649212 36929348 35739493 33529750 32459861 0.15 40089224 39109290 38089359 36319523 35039686 34429819 34449933 34949976 35709975 36939882 38419759 39469698 40299677 40839678 41969744 42799800 43799800 44609716 44909510 44829314 44399199 44129130 43849062 42578992 41389142 40089224 0.30 41769173 41099220 38419506 35809748 35189840 35239910 35689935 36869851 38269727 39379657 40359629 41189650 42009713 42889746 43779696 44189549 44329389 44059215 43559141 42699128 41769173 0.45 43099636 43499579 43529492 43089413 42399321 41829245 41169240 40849289 40579457 40839585 41389624 42059654 42609657 43099636 SIGN 41099226 40359318 40159439 40229568 40499630 41189653 42109715 42859726 43689673 44149556 44359390 43999210 43519140 42669136 41099226 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42748389 42298524 41098775 39769060 38609213 36899353 35279549 33969745 33339873 33159997 33520060 34360075 35470054 37159928 38509835 39719793 41009796 42189882 43309927 44609861 45889695 46279506 46259137 45818847 44938483 44368346 43478313 42748389 0.15 43889058 42618987 41439149 40079224 38009366 36129541 35009696 34459811 34449933 34999975 35739975 37029871 38439758 39559696 40169660 40839643 41709668 42509701 43259682 44099612 44369503 44489354 44299158 43889058 0.30 41359545 42319549 43219590 43639522 43639352 43069280 41809247 41149240 39819334 37869518 35879751 34809896 35069932 35689941 38499713 41359545 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 43529574 43469488 43219432 42539334 41849252 41159240 40859290 40569451 40829584 41369623 42069651 42589655 43109634 43529574 SLGT 44789314 43889062 42618992 41439147 40079224 38059362 36239529 35019692 34429812 34439927 34969971 35789970 38339764 39519696 40279668 40839678 41889735 42759800 43759802 44629711 44909510 44789314 TSTM 43967751 43637583 43007316 42227228 41487242 40377339 39537528 38747758 38637913 38818114 38888264 37158495 34388645 32738659 31678560 30358461 29718495 28998541 99999999 25578230 26308162 26398096 25948020 25427984 24438061 99999999 28559407 29359494 31279534 32419481 31539741 30459963 30270126 29020131 99999999 28930360 30230360 31570281 32870215 37119953 39079828 40199792 41169826 41729961 41960132 41690278 41770349 42580408 43950424 45390370 46640251 47540010 48049780 47889324 46338720 44988395 44088166 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW OTG 25 NE SPW 30 S FRM 45 S MCW 40 W CID OTM 30 SW OTM 30 W LWD 25 WNW SDA 20 WNW OMA 25 SSW SUX 15 NW SUX 40 SSE FSD 10 SW OTG. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE MSP 20 WSW VOK 45 ENE DBQ 35 SSE CID 15 E IRK 45 S SZL 35 E TUL 45 SE OKC 25 SE FSI 15 S LTS 35 NW LTS 35 S GAG 20 NE HUT 30 NNW MHK BIE LNK 10 SSE OFK 35 WSW YKN MHE 20 S ATY 25 N RWF 10 SSE MSP. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ROC 30 SSE ART 35 SE GFL 20 W ORH 20 WNW GON 25 SE JFK 20 ESE ILG 30 WSW DCA 30 NNW SHD 40 NE CRW 30 SW UNI 50 W LOZ 25 SE HSV 30 NNW MGM 25 NNW DHN 15 WSW TLH AAF 55 SSW AAF ...CONT... 50 SW APF 15 NE APF 55 ENE APF 10 NNE MIA 40 SE MIA 35 SE MTH ...CONT... 70 SE GLS 10 W GLS 35 W LFK GGG 10 WSW ACT 10 ESE JCT 60 ENE 6R6 35 SW DRT ...CONT... 105 SSE MRF 25 ESE MRF 25 ESE INK 60 NW BGS 50 SSE DDC 30 ENE RSL 40 SE HSI 15 NNE GRI 20 N BBW 15 WSW MHN 25 S AIA 10 SE BFF 35 N TOR 60 W RAP 15 SW 2WX 20 SE DIK 60 NNE BIS 30 WNW GFK 40 NNW HIB 20 SE MQT 20 WSW APN 70 ENE BAX.