Jan 15, 2013 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |
Updated: Tue Jan 15 19:29:29 UTC 2013 | |
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic |
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 151925 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0125 PM CST TUE JAN 15 2013 VALID 152000Z - 161200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... THUNDER IS BEING REMOVED FROM NW LA AND MUCH OF SRN AR. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF CNTRL LA PERHAPS INTO MS. ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ISOLATED AND COME TO AN END AFTER SUNSET. ..LEITMAN/DARROW.. 01/15/2013 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1003 AM CST TUE JAN 15 2013/ A POSITIVELY TILTED MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES TOWARDS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. A SURFACE FRONT DRAPED FROM NRN GA SWWD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER WILL MOVE LITTLE DURING THE PERIOD. ASIDE FROM A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ASSOCIATED WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY DURING THE DAY...OTHER REGIONS OF THE LOWER 48 WILL BE DEVOID OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z