Jan 28, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 28 00:54:31 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130128 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20130128 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20130128 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20130128 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 280050
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0650 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2013
   
   VALID 280100Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL MOVE EWD AND
   AMPLIFY TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...LARGE-SCALE
   ASCENT AND COOLING TEMPS ALOFT COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT FROM SRN UT SWD INTO CNTRL AZ. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
   ALSO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG THE WRN SHORE OF LAKE MI AS A
   SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. NONE OF THE THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY ACROSS THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE THROUGH
   TONIGHT.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 01/28/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z