Jan 28, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |
Updated: Mon Jan 28 00:54:31 UTC 2013 | |
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic |
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 280050 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0650 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2013 VALID 280100Z - 281200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST WILL MOVE EWD AND AMPLIFY TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COOLING TEMPS ALOFT COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM SRN UT SWD INTO CNTRL AZ. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP THIS EVENING ALONG THE WRN SHORE OF LAKE MI AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. NONE OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE THROUGH TONIGHT. ..BROYLES.. 01/28/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z