Mar 13, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Mar 13 00:45:29 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130313 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20130313 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20130313 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20130313 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
   SPC AC 130042
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0742 PM CDT TUE MAR 12 2013
   
   VALID 130100Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...COASTAL NC...
   ANY LINGERING TSTM POTENTIAL WILL QUICKLY SHIFT OFFSHORE THIS
   EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT...WITH
   TSTMS FOCUSED OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC THE REMAINDER OF
   THE NIGHT.
   
   ...IL/INDIANA...
   A TSTM OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE SHORT-TERM /THROUGH
   MID-EVENING/ IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT/VERY
   LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION IN PROXIMITY TO GREAT LAKES UPPER LOW. WITH
   THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM LINCOLN IL A REASONABLE PROXY...ANY
   REMAINING TSTM POTENTIAL WILL QUICKLY WANE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
   COOLS AFTER DARK.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/13/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z