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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 060046 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 PM CDT SUN MAY 05 2013 VALID 060100Z - 061200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A PAIR OF UPPER LOWS -- ONE JUST OFF THE NRN CA COAST AND ONE OVER THE SOUTHEAST/MID-SOUTH -- WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN INFLUENCES WITH RESPECT TO CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS PERIOD. ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRIKES ACROSS THE MIDWEST/MID AND LOWER OH VALLEY REGION...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FROM NRN AL/NRN GA/ERN TN EWD INTO THE CAROLINAS. FARTHER W...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN CA AND OREGON AND EWD INTO PARTS OF WY/CO...BUT THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH WITH TIME AS THE AIRMASS DIURNALLY STABILIZES. ...COASTAL SC... A NARROW WEDGE OF SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY PERSISTS OVER PARTS OF ERN SC ATTM...AS CONFIRMED/SAMPLED BY THE EVENING CHS /CHARLESTON SC/ RAOB. THOUGH LIGHTNING HAS REMAINED OFFSHORE...INSTABILITY APPEARS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AN ONSHORE STORM OR TWO -- AT LEAST INVOF THE COAST. GIVEN THIS...AND THAT LOW-LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR LOW-LEVEL ROTATION...WILL MAINTAIN 2% TORNADO PROBABILITY THIS FORECAST. ..GOSS.. 05/06/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |
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