Jul 2, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |||||||||
Updated: Tue Jul 2 01:03:37 UTC 2013 | |||||||||
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic | |||||||||
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 020059 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0759 PM CDT MON JUL 01 2013 VALID 020100Z - 021200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...EASTERN CONUS... A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUING TONIGHT FROM THE OH VALLEY TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. BUT GIVEN LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE FORM OF A LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OR BRIEF TORNADO RISK SHOULD REMAIN QUITE MARGINAL THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. ...CO/NM AND SOUTHERN AZ... AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM OR TWO CAPABLE OF HAIL MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE MAINLY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO /MID-EVENING/ ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL CO AND INTERIOR NM/MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST AZ. LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS SUCH AS SOUTHERN NM THIS EVENING...OR MORE SO SOUTHEAST AZ AS ISOLATED STORMS MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO A HOT BOUNDARY LAYER /100+ F SURFACE TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS EVENING ON THE DESERT FLOOR/. ..GUYER.. 07/02/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |