Jul 2, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jul 2 01:03:37 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130702 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20130702 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20130702 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20130702 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 020059

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0759 PM CDT MON JUL 01 2013

   VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...EASTERN CONUS...
   A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION WITH WIDELY
   SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUING TONIGHT FROM THE OH
   VALLEY TO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. BUT GIVEN LOSS OF
   DAYTIME HEATING...SEVERE POTENTIAL IN THE FORM OF A LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WIND GUST OR BRIEF TORNADO RISK SHOULD REMAIN QUITE MARGINAL THE
   REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. 

   ...CO/NM AND SOUTHERN AZ...
   AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM OR TWO CAPABLE OF HAIL MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE
   MAINLY OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO /MID-EVENING/ ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL
   CO AND INTERIOR NM/MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST AZ. LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
   GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS SUCH AS SOUTHERN NM THIS
   EVENING...OR MORE SO SOUTHEAST AZ AS ISOLATED STORMS MOVE
   SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO A HOT BOUNDARY LAYER /100+
   F SURFACE TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS EVENING ON THE DESERT FLOOR/.

   ..GUYER.. 07/02/2013

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z