Oct 20, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 20 01:02:39 UTC 2013 (20131020 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20131020 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131020 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20131020 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20131020 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20131020 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200058

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0758 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013

   VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT. A COUPLE
   OF TSTMS IN FL SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER INLAND AREAS THIS EVENING
   WITHIN A WEAK-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER
   PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL DIMINISH AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS
   EWD AND EL TEMPERATURES WARM.

   ..GRAMS.. 10/20/2013

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z