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| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 060050 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0650 PM CST TUE NOV 05 2013 VALID 060100Z - 061200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...OK INTO NWRN TX... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXISTS JUST AHEAD OF A SURGING COLD FRONT FROM NWRN TX INTO WRN OK. LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW SOME SMALL BOWING STRUCTURES OVER W CNTRL OK...WITH SOME RADAR-BASED VELOCITIES SUGGESTING STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THE AREA INDICATE MOST OF THE INSTABILITY IS LOCATED BELOW 500 MB...WITH AROUND 500-750 J/KG MUCAPE. WHILE WIND FIELDS INCREASE DRAMATICALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS...THERE IS A VEER/BACK SIGNATURE IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MORE OF A LINEAR STORM MODE. HOWEVER...A FEW CELLS MAY BE SEMI-DISCRETE BEFORE THE COLD FRONT UNDERCUTS THEM. CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL THIS OCCURS. AS A RESULT OF THE WARM MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES...ONLY SMALL HAIL IS EXPECTED. ..JEWELL.. 11/06/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |
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