| 
)| Categorical Graphic | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|||||||||
| Probabilistic Tornado Graphic | |||||||||
 |
|||||||||
| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
|||||||||
| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||
 |
|||||||||
| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
|||||||||
| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||
 |
|||||||||
| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
|||||||||
| |||||||||
SPC AC 081214 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST FRI NOV 08 2013 VALID 081300Z - 091200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... IN MID-UPPER LEVELS...RATHER LOW-AMPLITUDE PATTERN IS FCST ACROSS CONUS THROUGH PERIOD...WITH PROGRESSIVE NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVE TRAIN. WELL-DEFINED TROUGH -- NOW MOVING EWD OUT OF NRN ROCKIES REGION ACROSS NRN HIGH PLAINS -- SHOULD REACH ERN DAKOTAS...WRN MN AND NEB/IA BORDER BY 00Z...BEFORE DEAMPLIFYING AND EJECTING ENEWD ACROSS UPPER MS VALLEY. BY END OF PERIOD...THIS FEATURE SHOULD REACH NRN LM OR NRN LOWER MI. ALTHOUGH THIS PERTURBATION WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PRONOUNCED SFC CYCLONE...AVAILABLE MOISTURE WILL BE QUITE SCANT...BECAUSE OF DRY TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM ANTECEDENT CONTINENTAL ANTICYCLONE...AND STG RIDGING ASSOCIATED WITH THAT HIGH PRESSURE AREA OVER GULF COAST STATES. ELSEWHERE...PRECIP MAY SPREAD NEWD OUT OF NRN MEX ACROSS SW TX...ASSOCIATED WITH COMBINATION OF DCVA ALOFT AND LOW-LEVEL WAA PRECEDING WEAK SRN-STREAM PERTURBATIONS EJECTING NEWD OUT OF MEX. HOWEVER...MOISTURE/BUOYANCY SHOULD BE TOO MEAGER TO SUPPORT GEN TSTM POTENTIAL OVER THIS AREA AS WELL. ..EDWARDS/MOSIER.. 11/08/2013 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z |
|||||||||