Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 050530
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1130 PM CST FRI JAN 04 2013
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL PENINSULA...
   
   THE PROSPECT FOR DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LIGHTNING WILL
   BE HARSHLY LIMITED DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD AS MEANINGFUL INSTABILITY
   WILL BE CONFINED TO NEAR COASTAL WATERS OFF THE FL PENINSULA. 
   LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE DOES HOWEVER SUGGEST DIURNAL HEATING WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE CNTRL
   PENINSULA SUNDAY AND THIS MAY PROVE ADEQUATE FOR FEEBLE CONVECTION
   ALONG A WEAKLY CONVERGENT BOUNDARY THAT WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE
   REGION.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SBCAPE COULD APPROACH 300-500
   J/KG AS SFC TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID 70S...THUS WILL MAINTAIN
   LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TSTMS PRIMARILY DUE TO DAYTIME
   HEATING.  EVEN SO...GREATER CONCENTRATION OF CONVECTION SHOULD BE
   CONFINED TO OFFSHORE REGIONS WHERE BUOYANCY WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE
   CONDUCIVE FOR UPDRAFTS PENETRATING LEVELS NECESSARY FOR LIGHTNING
   DISCHARGE.
   
   ..DARROW.. 01/05/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z