Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 130524
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1124 PM CST TUE FEB 12 2013
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL...
   
   SOUTHERN CURRENT OF BIFURCATED MID LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY SAG
   ACROSS THE GULF STATES AND EXTEND ACROSS THE CNTRL GOM AND THE FL
   PENINSULA THURSDAY.  THIS FLOW PATTERN WILL FAVOR WEAK WARM
   ADVECTION WITHIN POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   CNTRL/SRN PENINSULA.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT 100-200 J/KG MUCAPE
   IF LIFTING PARCELS NEAR 850MB...WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF TSTMS
   LIKELY OCCURRING DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD IN ADVANCE OF
   EMBEDDED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT APPROACHES FL LATE.  ALTHOUGH
   BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE
   WARM SECTOR OVER THE SRN TIP OF THE PENINSULA IT APPEARS CONVECTION
   WILL REMAIN TOO WEAK AND SHALLOW TO WARRANT A MEANINGFUL THREAT FOR
   LIGHTNING SOUTH OF THE WIND SHIFT.
   
   ..DARROW.. 02/13/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z