Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 060515
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1115 PM CST TUE MAR 05 2013
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...CA...
   
   MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT REGARDING THE SPEED/MOVEMENT OF
   UPPER LOW AS IT DROPS SSEWD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST.  QUITE COLD MID
   LEVEL TEMPERATURES...AOB MINUS 30C...WILL BE NOTED WITH THIS SYSTEM
   WHICH SHOULD ENHANCE LAPSE RATES AND CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ALONG THE
   IMMEDIATE COAST...AND PERHAPS ACROSS THE INTERIOR VALLEYS. 
   HOWEVER...MODELS ARE TRENDING TO A BIT DRYER BOUNDARY LAYER
   CONDITIONS...SFC DEW POINTS MOSTLY IN THE 30S...WHICH MAY LIMIT THE
   COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING.  WILL
   MAINTAIN 10 PERCENT THUNDER PROBABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF CNTRL
   COASTAL/INTERIOR CA BUT COVERAGE OF TSTMS MAY ACTUALLY BE LESS THAN
   CURRENTLY FORECAST DUE TO AFOREMENTIONED POOR BOUNDARY LAYER
   MOISTURE.
   
   ..DARROW.. 03/06/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z