Mar 19, 2013 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Mar 19 05:56:19 UTC 2013
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20130319 0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20130319 0600 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 190458
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1158 PM CDT MON MAR 18 2013
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   THE PROSPECTS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE MINIMAL
   WEDNESDAY OVER THE CONUS.  AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH/CYCLONIC FLOW
   WILL BE PERVASIVE ACROSS THE ERN U.S. AND A WEAKENED FRONTAL ZONE IS
   FORECAST OVER THE CNTRL-SRN PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA.  THE
   ABSENCE OF SUBSTANTIAL LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY
   LIMIT SHOWER/TSTM COVERAGE /ISOLD-WIDELY SCTD/.  FARTHER WEST...A
   VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE
   NRN GREAT BASIN BY LATE EVENING ALONG WITH AN ACCOMPANYING COLD
   FRONT.  DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...A FEW WEAK
   THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY FORM WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF A JET
   STREAK MOVING INTO THE NRN GREAT BASIN.  TOWARDS THE END OF THE DAY
   2 PERIOD...SPORADIC WARM ADVECTION SHOWERS AND A TSTM OR TWO MAY
   DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS AS A SURFACE LOW BECOMES BETTER
   DEFINED OVER SERN CO.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/19/2013
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z