Nov 24, 2013 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Nov 24 17:20:55 UTC 2013 (20131124 1730Z Day 2 shapefile | 20131124 1730Z Day 2 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131124 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20131124 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 241718

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1118 AM CST SUN NOV 24 2013

   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE SPLIT FLOW PATTERN ALOFT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE
   THIS PERIOD...AS SOME PHASING OCCURS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. BETWEEN A
   NRN STREAM SHORT-WAVE DIGGING SWD OUT OF CANADA AND THE SRN STREAM
   LOW SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.

   WITH A CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS PREVAILING AT THE SURFACE ACROSS A
   LARGE PORTION OF THE COUNTRY...LITTLE RISK FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION
   IS EVIDENT.  ANY APPRECIABLE THUNDER RISK THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN
   CONFINED TO THE GULF AND ADJACENT COASTAL STATES...WHERE THE HIGHEST
   THETA-E AIRMASS WILL RESIDE.

   ..GOSS.. 11/24/2013

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z