Dec 6, 2013 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Dec 6 08:24:53 UTC 2013 (20131206 0830Z Day 3 shapefile | 20131206 0830Z Day 3 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20131206 0830 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20131206 0830 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060822

   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0222 AM CST FRI DEC 06 2013

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. DAY
   3...AS THE LONG-WAVE TROUGH SHIFTS INTO CENTRAL NOAM.  THE
   AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR AS AN INITIAL/EMBEDDED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
   EJECTS NEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES...WHILE A
   SECOND DIGS SWD OUT OF WRN CANADA -- CROSSING THE GREAT BASIN AND
   REACHING THE SWRN U.S. LATE.  

   THOUGH A COLD CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER MUCH OF THE
   COUNTRY...HIGHER THETA-E AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST. 
   STILL...WITH WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT YIELDING LITTLE
   CAPE...CONVECTION -- IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
   THUNDERSTORMS -- IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK/SUB-SEVERE.

   ..GOSS.. 12/06/2013

   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0830Z