Jan 1, 2014 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 1 13:01:42 UTC 2014 (20140101 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140101 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140101 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140101 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140101 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140101 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 011257

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0657 AM CST WED JAN 01 2014

   VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER CO WILL APPROACH THE LOWER MS
   VALLEY THURSDAY MORNING...AS AN INITIAL LEE CYCLONE EVENTUALLY
   DEVELOPS EWD OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND THEN NEWD TO THE LOWER OH
   VALLEY.  SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE RETURN INLAND IS UNLIKELY ACROSS THE
   GULF COAST GIVEN A PRE-EXISTING FRONT ACROSS THE SRN GULF.  ACROSS
   FL...SOME SHALLOW BUOYANCY/CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS S FL...BUT
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY.

   ..THOMPSON/DEAN.. 01/01/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z