Jan 1, 2014 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 1 16:06:40 UTC 2014 (20140101 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140101 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140101 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140101 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140101 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140101 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 011602

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1002 AM CST WED JAN 01 2014

   VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CONUS
   TODAY.  ONE AREA OF INTEREST IS OVER FL...WHERE OBSERVED/FCST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK CAPE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS
   LATER TODAY.  WHILE A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED
   OUT...THE PROBABILITY/COVERAGE APPEARS TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT.

   ..HART/MOSIER.. 01/01/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z