Jan 3, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 3 00:54:29 UTC 2014 (20140103 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140103 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140103 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140103 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140103 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140103 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030050

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0650 PM CST THU JAN 02 2014

   VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...FLORIDA PENINSULA...
   AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STABILIZE WITH THE LOSS OF
   DAYTIME HEATING...AND SOUTHWESTERLY LOWER TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS
   BEGIN TO WEAKEN...ANY EXISTENT SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED
   TO BECOME INCREASING NEGLIGIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  IN
   FACT...PROBABILITIES FOR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER
   INLAND AREAS AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS MAY NOW BE NEAR THE MINIMUM
   10 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR MAINTAINING A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM
   OUTLOOK /AT BEST/.

   ..KERR.. 01/03/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z