Jan 3, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 3 05:23:34 UTC 2014 (20140103 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140103 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140103 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140103 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140103 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140103 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 030519

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1119 PM CST THU JAN 02 2014

   VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BY 12Z THIS MORNING...THE LEADING EDGE OF A SIGNIFICANT REINFORCING
   INTRUSION OF COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO HAVE ADVANCED SOUTH AND EAST OF
   THE FLORIDA KEYS.  GIVEN ONGOING COOLING/DRYING OF THE BOUNDARY
   LAYER OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...A COLD LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS FIRMLY
   ENTRENCHED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN STATES...AND
   OTHERWISE DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
   U.S...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL APPEARS NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH THIS FORECAST
   PERIOD.

   ..KERR.. 01/03/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z