Jan 3, 2014 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 3 12:40:39 UTC 2014 (20140103 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140103 1300Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140103 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140103 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140103 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140103 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 031237

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0637 AM CST FRI JAN 03 2014

   VALID 031300Z - 041200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES
   ROTATING THROUGH A BROAD LARGE SCALE TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE MS
   RIVER VALLEY.  12Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES A CP AIRMASS HAS
   INFILTRATED THE SOUTHEAST STATES AS A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
   PROGRESS SEWD THROUGH THE FL STRAITS THIS MORNING.  COOL/STABLE
   CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY OVER THE
   LOWER 48 STATES.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 01/03/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z