Jan 3, 2014 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 3 16:15:32 UTC 2014 (20140103 1630Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140103 1630Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140103 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140103 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140103 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140103 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 031611

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1011 AM CST FRI JAN 03 2014

   VALID 031630Z - 041200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...CENTERED OVER THE MID MS VALLEY THIS
   MORNING...IS EXPECTED TO PUSH EWD AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH /AND
   ASSOCIATED FRONTAL ZONE/ MOVES SEWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS FROM SRN
   AB/SK. A VERY DRY /PW VALUES FROM 0.08 INCH TO 0.16 INCH ACROSS THE
   SOUTHEAST/ AND STABLE CP AIRMASS EXISTS BENEATH THIS HIGH ACROSS THE
   ERN CONUS. COOL AND STABLE CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS THE CNTRL AND WRN
   CONUS AS WELL WITH NO TSTM ACTIVITY EXPECTED ANYWHERE ACROSS THE
   CONUS TODAY.

   ..MOSIER/WEISS.. 01/03/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z