Jan 6, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 6 00:57:35 UTC 2014 (20140106 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140106 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140106 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140106 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140106 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140106 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060053

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0653 PM CST SUN JAN 05 2014

   VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT -- NOW STRETCHING FROM THE MID OH TO THE LOWER
   MS VALLEY -- WILL CONTINUE SURGING SEWD ACROSS THE SRN AND ERN U.S.
   THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...AS A LARGE TROUGH/VORTEX MOVES SLOWLY
   EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN CONUS.

   SHOWERS ARE ACCOMPANYING THE FRONTAL SYSTEM...WITH OTHER SHOWERS
   ONGOING FARTHER E NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST...AND NEAR/JUST E OF THE
   FL PENINSULA.

   HOWEVER...ALL LIGHTNING IS NOW OFFSHORE...AND ASIDE FROM A STRAY
   STRIKE OR TWO...THIS SHOULD REMAIN THE CASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE
   PERIOD.  THUS -- WILL REMOVE ALL THUNDER AREAS THIS FORECAST.

   ..GOSS.. 01/06/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z