Jan 6, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 6 05:56:35 UTC 2014 (20140106 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140106 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140106 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140106 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140106 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140106 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 060552

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1152 PM CST SUN JAN 05 2014

   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH/VORTEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE ERN HALF
   OF NOAM THIS PERIOD...USHERING IN A COLD ARCTIC SURFACE AIRMASS
   ACROSS THE ERN CONUS.

   A COLD FRONT AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS ARCTIC SURGE WILL INITIALLY
   EXTEND SWD FROM NY ACROSS THE E COAST STATES TO FL.  THIS BOUNDARY
   WILL SHIFT QUICKLY EWD TOWARD/INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE
   DAY...FINALLY CLEARING THE MA AND FL COASTS BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
   EVENING.

   WHILE SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL ACCOMPANY
   FRONTAL PASSAGE...ANY THUNDER RISK SHOULD REMAIN WELL BELOW THE
   THRESHOLD REQUIRING AN AREAL OUTLOOK ISSUANCE.

   ..GOSS.. 01/06/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z