Jan 7, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 7 00:46:30 UTC 2014 (20140107 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140107 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140107 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140107 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140107 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140107 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070042

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0642 PM CST MON JAN 06 2014

   VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...DISCUSSION...
   AN ARCTIC SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS NOW VACATED THE SRN AND ERN
   CONUS...LEAVING A FRIGID/STABLE AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE OVER THE ERN 2/3
   OF THE COUNTRY.  IN THE WEST...WEAK UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGHING WILL
   CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY. 
   GIVEN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS OVER MUCH OF THE COUNTRY AND A LACK OF CAPE
   IN THE WEST...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

   ..GOSS.. 01/07/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z