Jan 7, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 7 05:45:36 UTC 2014 (20140107 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140107 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140107 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140107 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140107 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140107 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 070541

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1141 PM CST MON JAN 06 2014

   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE UPPER TROUGH INITIALLY ALIGNED FROM QUEBEC TO THE
   MID-ATLANTIC REGION WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING QUICKLY NEWD ACROSS NEW
   ENGLAND AND INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...WHILE IN ITS WAKE
   BROAD/LOWER-AMPLITUDE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CONUS.  


   AS THE CENTER OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EWD ACROSS THE
   SOUTHEAST STATES...SLY FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE S CENTRAL U.S.
   WILL FORCE SOME RETREAT OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS.  ELSEWHERE E OF THE
   ROCKIES HOWEVER...VERY COLD/DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

   WITH A STABLE AIRMASS PROGGED ACROSS THE ENTIRE U.S. AND AN OVERALL
   DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE FLOW FIELD ALOFT...APPRECIABLE DEEP
   CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL BE LARGELY NON-EXISTENT -- ASIDE FROM
   LAKE-EFFECT SNOW BANDS IN LEE OF THE GREAT LAKES.

   ..GOSS.. 01/07/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z