Jan 8, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 8 04:59:30 UTC 2014 (20140108 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140108 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140108 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140108 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140108 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140108 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 080455

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1055 PM CST TUE JAN 07 2014

   VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   QUASI-ZONAL UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CONUS
   TODAY...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE PAC
   NW...AS WELL AS THE S-CNTRL STATES. MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AOB -25C
   WILL ACCOMPANY THE PAC NW TROUGH...AND AID IN STEEPENING LAPSE RATES
   OVER ORE/WA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. CONVECTIVE
   PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AS A RESULT...AND AN
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED OUT. OVER TX...SLY
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL DRAW MOISTURE NWD FROM THE GULF COAST INTO
   CNTRL/ERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
   HOWEVER...DESTABILIZATION AND BUOYANCY WILL BE INSUFFICIENT FOR
   THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. FARTHER E...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
   POSSIBLE OFFSHORE OF SRN FL.

   ..GARNER.. 01/08/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z