Jan 10, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 10 01:19:34 UTC 2014 (20140110 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140110 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140110 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140110 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140110 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140110 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 100115

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0715 PM CST THU JAN 09 2014

   VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITHIN A
   WEAK WARM ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE INTO ADJACENT SRN
   GA. MEANWHILE...ISOLATED STORMS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO THE
   OVERNIGHT OVER S FL WHERE MARINE TRAJECTORIES ARE FAVORING ENHANCED
   THETA-E IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND MODEST BUOYANCY. INCREASING
   FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE WRN FRINGES OF MODEST MOISTURE RETURN
   ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS MAY ALSO FAVOR AN AREA OF ISOLATED ELEVATED
   STORMS LATE IN THE NIGHT FROM SRN OK INTO THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS OF
   TX. NONE OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

   ..DIAL/COHEN.. 01/10/2014

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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z