Jan 12, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 12 00:35:34 UTC 2014 (20140112 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140112 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140112 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140112 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140112 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140112 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 120027

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0627 PM CST SAT JAN 11 2014

   VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...FLORIDA...
   A LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL FL PENINSULA
   THIS EVENING...BUT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY
   DUE TO LOSS OF HEATING AND DWINDLING LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT.
   WHILE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL REMAIN FOR A FEW LONGER
   LIVED LINE SEGMENTS...THE WEAKENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
   DOWNWARD TREND IN INTENSITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY DAMAGING WIND
   THREAT.

   ..JEWELL.. 01/12/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z