Jan 12, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Jan 12 04:10:36 UTC 2014 (20140112 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140112 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140112 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140112 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140112 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140112 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 120405

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1005 PM CST SAT JAN 11 2014

   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE SERN STATES IN THE WAKE
   OF A RAPIDLY EJECTING UPPER TROUGH...WHILE ANOTHER BROADER TROUGH
   QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE CNTRL STATES. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AT THE
   SURFACE AND COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SWWD FROM AN ONTARIO SURFACE LOW
   SUNDAY NIGHT...AND WILL MOVE INTO SERN TX LATE IN THE PERIOD.
   HERE...VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO MON
   MORNING DUE TO MID 50S F DEWPOINTS INTERACTING WITH THE FRONT.
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES COULD OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE
   PRECIPITATION THAT FORMS ACROSS SRN/SERN TX LATE.
   OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE CONUS.

   ..JEWELL/BOTHWELL.. 01/12/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z