Jan 14, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 14 00:22:31 UTC 2014 (20140114 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140114 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140114 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140114 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140114 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140114 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 140017

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0617 PM CST MON JAN 13 2014

   VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...FL...
   A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY EXTENDS
   FROM THE CNTRL INTO THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ACROSS NRN FL AND GA
   WELL AHEAD OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT. LATEST LIGHTNING TRENDS HAVE BEEN
   DOWNWARD GIVEN THE EXPANSIVE PRECIPITATION SHIELD AND RELATIVELY
   COOL AND STABLE OUTFLOW AIR. 

   WHILE THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS NRN AND INTO
   CNTRL FL LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
   EXPECTED DUE TO THE WEAK INSTABILITY AND DISORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
   PRECIPITATION.

   ..JEWELL.. 01/14/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z