|Jan 15, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook|
|Updated: Wed Jan 15 00:05:33 UTC 2014 ( | )|
|Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table|
|Probabilistic Tornado Graphic|
|Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
|Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic|
|Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
|Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic|
|Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 150000 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0600 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2014 VALID 150100Z - 151200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A LARGE AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE CNTRL INTO THE ERN U.S...WITH AREAS OF STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS GENERATED BY DAYTIME HEATING AND COOL AIR ALOFT. WEAK SHALLOW CONVECTION OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DWINDLE THIS EVENING. TO THE E...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NNEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND WITH TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT STALLED ACROSS SRN FL. WHILE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 60S F...VEERED FLOW ALOFT HAS RESULTED IN RAPID DRYING AND STORMS WILL NOT OCCUR. ..JEWELL.. 01/15/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z