Jan 15, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 15 00:05:33 UTC 2014 (20140115 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140115 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140115 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140115 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140115 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140115 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 150000

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0600 PM CST TUE JAN 14 2014

   VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE CNTRL
   INTO THE ERN U.S...WITH AREAS OF STEEP LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE CNTRL
   AND SRN PLAINS GENERATED BY DAYTIME HEATING AND COOL AIR ALOFT. WEAK
   SHALLOW CONVECTION OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DWINDLE THIS EVENING.

   TO THE E...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NNEWD ACROSS NEW
   ENGLAND WITH TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT STALLED ACROSS SRN FL. WHILE
   SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE 60S F...VEERED FLOW ALOFT HAS RESULTED
   IN RAPID DRYING AND STORMS WILL NOT OCCUR.

   ..JEWELL.. 01/15/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z