Jan 16, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Jan 16 05:34:33 UTC 2014 (20140116 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140116 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140116 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140116 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140116 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140116 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 160530

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1130 PM CST WED JAN 15 2014

   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REINFORCED E OF THE
   ROCKIES AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS CENTERED JUST E OF THE MS
   VALLEY. AS SUCH...TSTM POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS.
   CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP EARLY FRI MORNING OVER THE WRN GULF
   ALONG A SWD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
   OFFSHORE.

   ..ROGERS.. 01/16/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z