|Jan 16, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook|
|Updated: Thu Jan 16 05:34:33 UTC 2014 ( | )|
|Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table|
|Probabilistic Tornado Graphic|
|Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
|Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic|
|Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
|Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic|
|Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SPC AC 160530 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 PM CST WED JAN 15 2014 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REINFORCED E OF THE ROCKIES AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH REMAINS CENTERED JUST E OF THE MS VALLEY. AS SUCH...TSTM POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL ACROSS THE CONUS. CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP EARLY FRI MORNING OVER THE WRN GULF ALONG A SWD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE. ..ROGERS.. 01/16/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z