Jan 25, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Jan 25 20:00:34 UTC 2014 (20140125 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140125 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140125 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140125 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140125 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140125 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 251956

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0156 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2014

   VALID 252000Z - 261200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...20Z UPDATE...
   NO CHANGES. A STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKE COULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON WITH
   SHALLOW CONVECTION NEAR LAKE ERIE/UPPER OH RIVER VALLEY...BUT ANY
   SUCH POTENTIAL/COVERAGE WILL REMAIN VERY MARGINAL.

   ..GUYER.. 01/25/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2014/

   BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS TODAY OVER MOST OF THE UNITED STATES. 
   DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE CONUS ARE EXPECTED TO
   PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z