Mar 20, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 20 00:40:35 UTC 2014 (20140320 0100Z Day 1 shapefile | 20140320 0100Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20140320 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20140320 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20140320 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20140320 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 200037

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0737 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2014

   VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...COASTAL MID ATLANTIC THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND...

   EVENING RAOB DATA FROM ALBANY SHOW STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WEAK
   ELEVATED INSTABILITY BETWEEN 750-400 MB ABOVE A LOW-LEVEL STABLE
   LAYER DOWNSTREAM FROM A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. MID-UPPER
   LEVEL FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE AND ITS ATTENDANT
   WARM CONVEYOR BELT WILL MAINTAIN AREAS OF SCATTERED CONVECTION 
   WITHIN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR FROM THE COASTAL MID ATLANTIC
   INTO PORTIONS OF THE NERN STATES THIS EVENING.

   ..DIAL.. 03/20/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z