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)The SPC is forecasting ...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the central Plains into mid Missouri Valley this afternoon and tonight.... Please read the latest public statement about this event. View What is a Watch? clip.
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| Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic | |||||||||||||
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| Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
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| Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic | |||||||||||||
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| Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
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SPC AC 120033 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0733 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2014 VALID 120100Z - 121200Z ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KS...SERN NEB...AND WRN/CNTRL IA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST STATES... ...SUMMARY... NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO CENTRAL IOWA. VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. OTHERWISE...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM ILLINOIS INTO OHIO...AND OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. ...KS/NEB/IA... INTENSE SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS CONTINUE ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM CENTRAL KS INTO CENTRAL IA. THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL /SOME VERY LARGE/. SEVERAL TORNADOES HAVE ALSO OCCURRED WITH STORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEB INTO WESTERN IA. THESE THREATS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING...BUT HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN THE MODERATE RISK FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. STORMS OVER NEB MAY HAVE AN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THEY ORGANIZE UPSCALE AND SPREAD INTO IA. ...OK/TX... FARTHER SOUTH...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT ACROSS WESTERN OK AND PARTS OF WEST TX AS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT SAGS INTO THIS AREA. THESE STORMS MAY POSE A RISK OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ...IL/IND/OH... SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN IL...NORTHERN/CENTRAL IND...AND CENTRAL OH. THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO BEFORE NOCTURNAL COOLING WEAKENS THE STORMS. ..HART.. 05/12/2014 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z |