Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 170038
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT THU OCT 16 2014
VALID 170100Z - 171200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 11 PM EDT
OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.
...DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES APPEAR MINIMAL ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS
TONIGHT. QUITE ISOLATED STORMS MAY PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS
WITHIN THE COLD-CORE OF AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.
AS THIS FEATURE SHIFTS N TOWARDS THE ONTARIO/QUEBEC BORDER...WARMING
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH FURTHER SURFACE COOLING WILL
CURTAIL THUNDER RISK OVERNIGHT.
..GRAMS.. 10/17/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z