Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 290542
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 AM CDT WED OCT 29 2014
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST PRIMARILY OVER THE CAROLINAS AND
THE GULF COAST STATES.
...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE-SCALE FLOW FIELD ALOFT IS PROGGED FOR
WEDNESDAY...AS THE ERN U.S. TROUGH DEEPENS/EXPANDS AND A SECOND
BEGINS APPROACHING THE W COAST FROM THE ERN PACIFIC. AS A
RESULT...A RIDGE SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE TWO TROUGHS WILL AMPLIFY AS
IT SHIFTS EWD...EXPANDING TO ENCOMPASS THE ALL OF WRN NOAM BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD.
AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE SRN AND ERN U.S. WILL
GRADUALLY ADVANCE OFF THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.
WITH A COOL CONTINENTAL AIRMASS SPREADING ACROSS THE U.S. AS A
SURFACE HIGH EXPANDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT...THE RISK FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION WILL BE CONFINED TO
A ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CAROLINAS/SRN VA WSWWD ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES. WITH ONLY MODEST SHEAR AND MIXED-LAYER CAPE WITHIN
THE PRE-FRONTAL AIRMASS LARGELY AOB 1000 J/KG...APPRECIABLE SEVERE
RISK IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
..GOSS/MEAD.. 10/29/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
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