Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 030054
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0654 PM CST SUN NOV 02 2014
VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE AS OF MID-EVENING FROM
SERN AZ/SWRN NM NEWD INTO FAR WRN KS. THIS ACTIVITY IS COLLOCATED
WITH A BAND OF ASCENT PRECEDING A MIDLEVEL VORT LOBE OVER UT/NRN AZ
AT THE SRN EXTENT OF A WRN-CONUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AS THESE FEATURES
SHIFT EWD...AND A LLJ DEVELOPS STRENGTHENS OVER THE PLAINS...STORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PLAINS.
HOWEVER...SVR STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AS ALREADY MEAGER BUOYANCY
DECREASES WITH NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION.
..COHEN/JEWELL.. 11/03/2014
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z