Nov 19, 2014 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Nov 19 05:35:15 UTC 2014 (20141119 1200Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141119 1200Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141119 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20141119 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20141119 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20141119 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 190535

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1135 PM CST TUE NOV 18 2014

   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. WEDNESDAY.

   A LONGWAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OH AND TN VALLEYS
   TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND SRN
   PLAINS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE ACROSS THE SERN STATES
   KEEPING DRY AIR IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS. AS A
   RESULT...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS
   TODAY OR TONIGHT.

   ..BROYLES/GLEASON.. 11/19/2014

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z