Nov 29, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 29 18:34:15 UTC 2014 (20141129 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20141129 2000Z Day 1 KML)
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20141129 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20141129 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Tornado Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20141129 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Wind Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20141129 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hail Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
   SPC AC 291834

   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1234 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2014

   VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES.

   CONTINUE PREVIOUS FORECAST OF NO THUNDERSTORMS.

   ..JEWELL.. 11/29/2014

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1008 AM CST SAT NOV 29 2014/

   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE AIR MASS WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE
   CONUS TODAY.  SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF MT/ID INTO
   NORTHERN CA...WHERE VERY MARGINAL ELEVATED CAPE MAY EXIST.  WHILE AN
   ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...ORGANIZED
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z